Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 959.347835 1079.826353 1211.054593 1364.840880 1540.421326 1734.976352 1967.360581
2026-01-25 784.338919 950.654906 1147.100478 1397.296143 1708.955124 2086.296163 2580.656869
2026-02-01 680.798272 868.471688 1102.999498 1419.760037 1839.690775 2381.837245 3142.106550
2026-02-08 604.869551 803.751899 1063.776219 1432.077104 1945.851913 2645.304003 3683.595706
2026-02-15 547.986973 753.962353 1033.889607 1447.010344 2049.460258 2908.791964 4250.520495
2026-02-22 506.356378 718.611338 1017.224103 1474.525049 2168.788614 3202.207684 4892.734482
2026-03-01 454.616419 662.537269 963.877033 1440.356914 2189.536292 3347.168086 5320.564565
2026-03-08 408.022704 608.914736 907.931881 1394.581823 2184.468965 3447.368062 5683.387904
2026-03-15 368.337707 561.747780 856.748512 1349.800930 2174.002333 3534.336195 6030.082352
2026-03-22 352.832060 550.356709 859.392052 1390.472858 2306.173302 3869.214236 6847.579424
2026-03-29 334.247042 532.210670 849.234294 1408.183899 2399.974934 4146.742825 7595.543596
2026-04-05 315.563789 512.176098 833.951806 1415.065108 2474.401098 4396.247122 8321.309433
2026-04-12 297.556461 492.223414 817.782935 1420.019309 2548.055725 4656.724681 9114.069834
2026-04-19 286.006462 482.332212 817.966821 1454.255333 2679.721479 5042.360036 10218.172038
2026-04-26 273.751851 470.104917 812.807962 1477.738821 2792.693014 5403.735919 11323.556052
2026-05-03 260.989065 455.879749 802.725152 1490.611622 2885.566802 5734.537657 12410.395004
2026-05-10 249.691907 443.368901 794.613937 1506.219087 2985.066034 6089.854025 13605.679898
2026-05-17 241.011742 434.966549 793.351806 1534.977949 3114.429603 6523.606466 15052.057210
2026-05-24 224.994389 411.573162 761.730305 1499.265172 3102.576057 6644.917087 15756.531128
2026-05-31 208.900624 386.910406 725.811946 1451.426713 3059.183288 6689.442406 16273.884501
2026-06-07 194.234014 364.039435 691.786948 1404.634085 3013.350102 6722.899765 16767.744880
2026-06-14 190.335142 362.050259 699.214400 1447.132873 3174.416149 7264.507677 18701.654516
2026-06-21 184.138633 355.019601 695.839637 1465.641193 3281.623503 7688.517180 20385.288422